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If Carnell Tate is out, who gets his targets?
The Tennessee Titans room absorbs +2.99 receptions, and Calvin Ridley takes the largest single share at +0.71. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Catches now | If he sits | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan'Dale Robinson WR · 66% snaps | 4.40 | 4.80 | +0.40 |
| Carnell Tate WR · 84% snaps | 4.10 | — | OUT |
| Gunnar Helm TE · 82% snaps | 3.30 | 3.45 | +0.15 |
| Elic Ayomanor WR · 62% snaps | 2.60 | 3.10 | +0.50 |
| Tyjae Spears RB · 44% snaps | 2.20 | 2.33 | +0.13 |
| Tony Pollard RB · 53% snaps | 2.00 | 2.12 | +0.12 |
| Calvin Ridley WR · 53% snaps | 1.60 | 2.31 | +0.71 |
| Daniel Bellinger TE · 38% snaps | 1.30 | 1.45 | +0.15 |
| Chimere Dike WR · 7% snaps | 1.10 | 1.81 | +0.71 |
| Nicholas Singleton RB · 11% snaps | 0.50 | 0.62 | +0.12 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.584 | 1,537 | 11.16 |
| Tight ends | +0.175 | 1,080 | 3.33 |
| Backs | +0.113 | 1,011 | 2.00 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
Carnell Tate’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection