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If Denzel Boston is out, who gets his targets?

The Cleveland Browns room absorbs +0.69 receptions, and KC Concepcion takes the largest single share at +0.23. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Denzel Boston sitsKC Concepcion+0.2WR 74% snapsJerry Jeudy+0.2WR 58% snapsIsaiah Bond+0.2WR 9% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Harold Fannin Jr. TE · 85% snaps4.504.50+0.00
KC Concepcion WR · 74% snaps3.503.73+0.23
Denzel Boston WR · 91% snaps3.40—OUT
Raheim Sanders RB · 32% snaps2.202.20+0.00
Quinshon Judkins RB · 61% snaps2.102.10+0.00
Jerry Jeudy WR · 58% snaps1.802.03+0.23
Dylan Sampson RB · 0% snaps1.401.40+0.00
Blake Whiteheart TE · 42% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Isaiah Bond WR · 9% snaps0.500.73+0.23

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Denzel Boston’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4