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If KC Concepcion is out, who gets his targets?
The Cleveland Browns room absorbs +2.87 receptions, and Jerry Jeudy takes the largest single share at +0.99. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Catches now | If he sits | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE · 85% snaps | 4.50 | 4.65 | +0.15 |
| KC Concepcion WR · 74% snaps | 3.50 | — | OUT |
| Denzel Boston WR · 91% snaps | 3.40 | 3.89 | +0.49 |
| Raheim Sanders RB · 32% snaps | 2.20 | 2.33 | +0.13 |
| Quinshon Judkins RB · 61% snaps | 2.10 | 2.22 | +0.12 |
| Jerry Jeudy WR · 58% snaps | 1.80 | 2.79 | +0.99 |
| Dylan Sampson RB · 0% snaps | 1.40 | 1.53 | +0.13 |
| Blake Whiteheart TE · 42% snaps | 0.80 | 0.95 | +0.15 |
| Isaiah Bond WR · 9% snaps | 0.50 | 1.21 | +0.71 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.584 | 1,537 | 11.16 |
| Tight ends | +0.175 | 1,080 | 3.33 |
| Backs | +0.113 | 1,011 | 2.00 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
KC Concepcion’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection