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If Malachi Fields is out, who gets his targets?

The New York Giants room absorbs +0.47 receptions, and Malik Nabers takes the largest single share at +0.24. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Malachi Fields sitsMalik Nabers+0.2WR 68% snapsDarnell Mooney+0.2WR 58% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Malik Nabers WR · 68% snaps3.503.74+0.24
Isaiah Likely TE · 67% snaps3.203.20+0.00
Cam Skattebo RB · 66% snaps2.902.90+0.00
Malachi Fields WR · 74% snaps2.30—OUT
Darnell Mooney WR · 58% snaps1.701.93+0.23
Devin Singletary RB · 31% snaps1.301.30+0.00
Theo Johnson TE · 30% snaps0.900.90+0.00
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · 2% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Chris Manhertz TE · 37% snaps0.500.50+0.00

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Malachi Fields’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4