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If Cam Skattebo is out, who gets his targets?

The New York Giants room absorbs +1.30 receptions, and Tyrone Tracy Jr. takes the largest single share at +0.71. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the running back room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Cam Skattebo sitsTyrone Tracy Jr.+0.7RB 2% snapsDevin Singletary+0.5RB 31% snapsIsaiah Likely+0.0TE 67% snapsTheo Johnson+0.0TE 30% snapsChris Manhertz+0.0TE 37% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Malik Nabers WR · 68% snaps3.603.60+0.00
Isaiah Likely TE · 67% snaps3.203.24+0.04
Cam Skattebo RB · 66% snaps2.90—OUT
Malachi Fields WR · 74% snaps2.302.30+0.00
Darnell Mooney WR · 58% snaps1.701.70+0.00
Devin Singletary RB · 31% snaps1.201.67+0.47
Theo Johnson TE · 30% snaps0.900.94+0.04
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · 2% snaps0.601.31+0.71
Chris Manhertz TE · 37% snaps0.500.54+0.04

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1122,0942.36
Tight ends+0.1031,2582.16
Backs+0.6101,04211.17

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Cam Skattebo’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4