Cam Skattebo

New York Giants · Running backRB1

Over 8 games last season Cam Skattebo averaged 3.0 receptions and 26 yards on 52% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 2.9 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

2.9

0.1 below his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Rush attempts

14.9

Rushing yards

Anytime TD

34%

His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.9 projected
26 wk3	TEN	77%	19.0%	4	3	40	20	60	0	2.6 +0.4
26 wk2	LA	59%	12.5%	4	4	19	12	36	0	—
26 wk1	DAL	61%	0.0%	0	0	0	18	81	1	—
25 wk8	PHI	21%	9.1%	2	1	18	3	12	1	—
25 wk7	DEN	60%	18.2%	6	3	34	16	60	1	—
25 wk6	PHI	71%	7.7%	2	2	12	19	98	3	—
25 wk5	NO	68%	17.9%	7	6	45	15	59	0	—
25 wk4	LAC	75%	10.0%	2	2	11	25	79	0	—
25 wk3	KC	59%	26.7%	8	6	61	10	60	1	—
25 wk2	DAL	52%	7.5%	3	2	14	11	45	1	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 10 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	4 of 10	40%
5+ receptions	2 of 10	20%
7+ receptions	0 of 10	0%
50+ receiving yards	1 of 10	10%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 10	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 10	0%
Scored a touchdown	6 of 10	60%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	2.3	19.7	2.7	16.7	59.0	1	66%	10.5%
2025	8	3.0	25.9	4.0	12.6	51.2	7	52%	12.9%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Cam Skattebo sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the NYG room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole New York Giants roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4