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New York Giants
This is a committee. Isaiah Likely holds 27.5% of the targets, and the 13 tracked pass-catchers project for 19 receptions and 210 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Nabers WR1 | 68% | 24.0% | 3.6 | 44 | who benefits |
| Malachi Fields WR2 | 74% | 14.0% | 2.3 | 33 | who benefits |
| Darnell Mooney WR3 | 58% | 10.2% | 1.7 | 27 | — |
| Braxton Berrios WR depth | 11% | 3.9% | 0.4 | 1 | — |
| Odell Beckham Jr. WR depth | 10% | 1.6% | 0.4 | 7 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Likely TE1 | 67% | 27.5% | 3.2 | 43 | who benefits |
| Theo Johnson TE2 | 30% | 5.3% | 0.9 | 14 | who benefits |
| Chris Manhertz TE3 | 37% | 0.4% | 0.5 | 2 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB depth | 2% | 10.8% | 0.7 | -1 | — |
| Cam Skattebo RB1 | 66% | 10.5% | 2.9 | 22 | who benefits |
| Devin Singletary RB3 | 31% | 8.5% | 1.3 | 13 | — |
| Najee Harris RB2 | 18% | 3.4% | 0.4 | 0 | — |
| Patrick Ricard RB depth | 44% | 1.1% | 0.3 | 3 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 27 carries and 117 rushing yards, with Cam Skattebo taking 55% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Skattebo RB | 14.9 | 63 | 4.26 | 34% |
| Najee Harris RB | 7.0 | 32 | 4.57 | 23% |
| Devin Singletary RB | 5.3 | 22 | 4.22 | 24% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.