Devin Singletary

New York Giants · Running backRB3

Over 17 games last season Devin Singletary averaged 1.1 receptions and 9 yards on 28% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.3 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

1.3

0.2 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Rush attempts

5.3

Rushing yards

Anytime TD

24%

Returning from a missed week. Players in their first game back come in about a third of a reception below recent form, so this projection is held down rather than reading his last line straight across.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3 projected
26 wk2	LA	26%	3.1%	1	0	0	3	9	0	—
26 wk1	DAL	36%	13.8%	4	4	22	6	16	1	—
25 wk18	DAL	32%	0.0%	0	0	0	9	26	1	—
25 wk17	LV	30%	13.8%	4	4	25	8	45	1	—
25 wk16	MIN	38%	7.7%	1	1	-1	11	47	0	—
25 wk15	WAS	24%	2.8%	1	1	1	5	13	0	—
25 wk13	NE	51%	12.5%	3	3	34	12	68	1	—
25 wk12	DET	30%	0.0%	0	0	0	14	47	0	—
25 wk11	GB	49%	3.4%	1	1	3	16	44	2	—
25 wk10	CHI	33%	9.4%	3	3	53	8	20	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	4 of 19	21%
5+ receptions	0 of 19	0%
7+ receptions	0 of 19	0%
50+ receiving yards	1 of 19	5%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 19	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 19	0%
Scored a touchdown	5 of 19	26%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	2	2.0	11.0	2.5	4.5	12.5	1	31%	8.5%
2025	17	1.1	8.9	1.1	7.0	25.7	5	28%	4.0%
2024	15	1.4	7.9	1.6	7.5	29.1	4	39%	4.9%
2023	19	2.0	12.9	2.5	12.5	51.9	5	57%	7.9%
2022	18	2.4	17.6	3.3	10.7	49.6	6	64%	9.2%
2021	19	2.5	14.0	3.1	11.3	51.4	11	62%	8.2%
2020	19	2.4	16.5	3.1	9.1	39.5	2	59%	8.8%
2019	13	2.7	20.8	3.7	12.6	64.1	4	68%	11.9%

8 seasons of usage, 2019–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole New York Giants roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4