Slate Stats › NFL › Injury impact
If Ja'Marr Chase is out, who gets his targets?
The Cincinnati Bengals room absorbs +3.61 receptions, and Andrei Iosivas takes the largest single share at +0.75. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Catches now | If he sits | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase WR · 94% snaps | 6.60 | — | OUT |
| Tee Higgins WR · 79% snaps | 4.30 | 4.87 | +0.57 |
| Chase Brown RB · 0% snaps | 3.50 | 3.63 | +0.13 |
| Mike Gesicki TE · 40% snaps | 2.30 | 2.45 | +0.15 |
| Andrei Iosivas WR · 57% snaps | 1.60 | 2.35 | +0.75 |
| Tanner Hudson TE · 16% snaps | 1.50 | 1.65 | +0.15 |
| Samaje Perine RB · 0% snaps | 1.50 | 1.63 | +0.13 |
| Dohnte Meyers WR · 30% snaps | 1.40 | 1.97 | +0.57 |
| Drew Sample TE · 59% snaps | 1.30 | 1.45 | +0.15 |
| Erick All TE · 31% snaps | 0.80 | 0.95 | +0.15 |
| Colbie Young WR · 11% snaps | 0.70 | 1.41 | +0.71 |
| Jack Endries TE · 2% snaps | 0.60 | 0.75 | +0.15 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.584 | 1,537 | 11.16 |
| Tight ends | +0.175 | 1,080 | 3.33 |
| Backs | +0.113 | 1,011 | 2.00 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
Ja'Marr Chase’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection