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If Michael Wilson is out, who gets his targets?
The Arizona Cardinals room absorbs +2.48 receptions, and Marvin Harrison Jr. takes the largest single share at +0.88. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Catches now | If he sits | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride TE · 86% snaps | 7.40 | 7.55 | +0.15 |
| Michael Wilson WR · 91% snaps | 5.10 | — | OUT |
| Jeremiyah Love RB · 49% snaps | 2.90 | 3.03 | +0.13 |
| Kendrick Bourne WR · 61% snaps | 2.60 | 3.34 | +0.74 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. WR · 77% snaps | 2.50 | 3.38 | +0.88 |
| Tyler Allgeier RB · 53% snaps | 1.90 | 2.03 | +0.13 |
| Elijah Higgins TE · 31% snaps | 1.00 | 1.16 | +0.16 |
| Hunter Long TE · 33% snaps | 0.60 | 0.76 | +0.16 |
| Bam Knight RB · 5% snaps | 0.60 | 0.73 | +0.13 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.584 | 1,537 | 11.16 |
| Tight ends | +0.175 | 1,080 | 3.33 |
| Backs | +0.113 | 1,011 | 2.00 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
Michael Wilson’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection