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If Omarion Hampton is out, who gets his targets?

The Los Angeles Chargers room absorbs +0.96 receptions, and Keaton Mitchell takes the largest single share at +0.76. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the running back room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Omarion Hampton sitsKeaton Mitchell+0.8RB 31% snapsOronde Gadsden…+0.0TE 40% snapsDavid Njoku+0.0TE 36% snapsCharlie Kolar+0.0TE 58% snapsHayden Rucci+0.0TE 41% snapsPatrick Herbert+0.0TE 1% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Ladd McConkey WR · 61% snaps3.803.80+0.00
Quentin Johnston WR · 82% snaps3.303.30+0.00
Tre Harris WR · 72% snaps2.802.80+0.00
Oronde Gadsden II TE · 40% snaps2.202.24+0.04
David Njoku TE · 36% snaps2.002.04+0.04
Omarion Hampton RB · 54% snaps1.90—OUT
Charlie Kolar TE · 58% snaps1.401.44+0.04
Keaton Mitchell RB · 31% snaps1.001.76+0.76
Hayden Rucci TE · 41% snaps0.600.64+0.04
Patrick Herbert TE · 1% snaps0.500.54+0.04

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1122,0942.36
Tight ends+0.1031,2582.16
Backs+0.6101,04211.17

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Omarion Hampton’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4