Omarion Hampton

Los Angeles Chargers · Running backRB1

Over 10 games last season Omarion Hampton averaged 3.2 receptions and 19 yards on 57% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.9 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

1.9

1.3 below his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Rush attempts

15.0

Rushing yards

Anytime TD

36%

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.9 projected
26 wk3	BUF	42%	3.0%	1	0	0	15	56	0	2.2 -2.2
26 wk2	LV	63%	7.7%	2	2	21	23	94	1	—
26 wk1	ARI	58%	0.0%	0	0	0	12	43	1	—
25 wk19	NE	3%	0.0%	0	0	0	1	-1	0	—
25 wk17	HOU	81%	25.8%	8	8	31	14	29	1	—
25 wk16	DAL	55%	7.1%	2	1	10	16	85	1	—
25 wk15	KC	36%	3.8%	1	1	4	15	61	0	—
25 wk14	PHI	31%	8.7%	2	2	11	13	56	1	—
25 wk5	WAS	58%	18.8%	6	6	26	12	44	0	—
25 wk4	NYG	89%	13.2%	5	5	37	12	128	1	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	4 of 12	33%
5+ receptions	4 of 12	33%
7+ receptions	1 of 12	8%
50+ receiving yards	1 of 12	8%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 12	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 12	0%
Scored a touchdown	7 of 12	58%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	0.7	7.0	1.0	16.7	64.3	2	54%	3.6%
2025	10	3.2	19.2	3.5	12.5	54.4	5	57%	10.6%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Omarion Hampton sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the LAC room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Los Angeles Chargers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4