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If Samaje Perine is out, who gets his targets?

The Cincinnati Bengals room absorbs +0.24 receptions, and Chase Brown takes the largest single share at +0.24. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the running back room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Samaje Perine sitsChase Brown+0.2RB 0% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Ja'Marr Chase WR · 94% snaps6.606.60+0.00
Tee Higgins WR · 79% snaps4.304.30+0.00
Chase Brown RB · 0% snaps3.503.74+0.24
Mike Gesicki TE · 40% snaps2.302.30+0.00
Andrei Iosivas WR · 57% snaps1.601.60+0.00
Dohnte Meyers WR · 30% snaps1.501.50+0.00
Tanner Hudson TE · 16% snaps1.501.50+0.00
Samaje Perine RB · 0% snaps1.40—OUT
Drew Sample TE · 59% snaps1.301.30+0.00
Erick All TE · 31% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Colbie Young WR · 11% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Jack Endries TE · 2% snaps0.600.60+0.00

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1122,0942.36
Tight ends+0.1031,2582.16
Backs+0.6101,04211.17

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Samaje Perine’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4