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If Tommy Tremble is out, who gets his targets?

The Carolina Panthers room absorbs +0.47 receptions, and Mitchell Evans takes the largest single share at +0.24. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the tight end room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Tommy Tremble sitsMitchell Evans+0.2TE 42% snapsDarren Waller+0.2TE 43% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Jalen Coker WR · 65% snaps4.204.20+0.00
Tetairoa McMillan WR · 86% snaps4.104.10+0.00
Darren Waller TE · 43% snaps2.702.93+0.23
Chuba Hubbard RB · 73% snaps2.602.60+0.00
Tommy Tremble TE · 53% snaps2.20—OUT
Mitchell Evans TE · 42% snaps1.601.84+0.24
Xavier Legette WR · 52% snaps1.401.40+0.00
Brycen Tremayne WR · 39% snaps1.201.20+0.00
John Metchie III WR · 34% snaps1.101.10+0.00
David Moore WR · 6% snaps0.800.80+0.00
Jonathon Brooks RB · 24% snaps0.800.80+0.00
AJ Dillon RB · 11% snaps0.600.60+0.00
Anthony Tyus III RB · 0% snaps0.600.60+0.00

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1072,1602.29
Tight ends+0.4921,0249.57
Backs-0.0451,259-0.92

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Tommy Tremble’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4