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If Travis Etienne is out, who gets his targets?

The New Orleans Saints room absorbs +1.51 receptions, and Kendre Miller takes the largest single share at +0.71. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the running back room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Travis Etienne sitsKendre Miller+0.7RB 24% snapsAlvin Kamara+0.7RB 30% snapsJuwan Johnson+0.0TE 66% snapsNoah Fant+0.0TE 47% snapsOscar Delp+0.0TE 16% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Chris Olave WR · 85% snaps6.806.80+0.00
Juwan Johnson TE · 66% snaps4.504.54+0.04
Devaughn Vele WR · 92% snaps3.803.80+0.00
Alvin Kamara RB · 30% snaps2.603.30+0.70
Travis Etienne RB · 50% snaps2.50—OUT
Noah Fant TE · 47% snaps2.402.43+0.03
Bryce Lance WR · 73% snaps2.002.00+0.00
Jalen Moreno-Cropper WR · 0% snaps0.900.90+0.00
Kendre Miller RB · 24% snaps0.701.41+0.71
Oscar Delp TE · 16% snaps0.700.73+0.03

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1122,0942.36
Tight ends+0.1031,2582.16
Backs+0.6101,04211.17

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Travis Etienne’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 4