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Ben Skowronek

Pittsburgh Steelers · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 17 games last season Ben Skowronek averaged 0.2 receptions and 4 yards on 16% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.7 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.7
0.5 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
10
Anytime TD
13%

What a realistic week looks like

56%027%111%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————0.7 projected
26 wk3CIN18%3.2%112310.8 +0.2
26 wk2NE21%2.7%1120—
25 wk19HOU14%0.0%0000—
25 wk18BAL11%0.0%0000—
25 wk16DET1%0.0%0000—
25 wk15MIA6%0.0%0000—
25 wk14BAL17%3.0%11130—
25 wk13BUF9%4.5%1000—
25 wk12CHI36%3.2%11210—
25 wk11CIN23%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 180%
5+ receptions0 of 180%
7+ receptions0 of 180%
50+ receiving yards0 of 180%
75+ receiving yards0 of 180%
100+ receiving yards0 of 180%
Scored a touchdown1 of 186%

Career by season

Ben Skowronek: snap share and target share by season020406080100202120222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far21.012.51.0120%3.0%
2025170.24.10.4116%1.3%
2024100.56.90.5017%1.8%
2023180.53.90.7118%2.2%
2022142.826.94.4181%13.7%
2021170.88.51.5025%4.3%

6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Pittsburgh Steelers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4