Blake Corum

Los Angeles Rams · Running backRB2

Over 20 games last season Blake Corum averaged 0.7 receptions and 4 yards on 30% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.3 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

1.3

0.6 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Rush attempts

10.1

Rushing yards

Anytime TD

15%

red-zone role (+0.13)

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.3 projected
26 wk3	DEN	29%	8.2%	4	2	0	6	15	0	1.1 +0.9
26 wk2	NYG	45%	3.3%	1	1	13	12	79	0	—
26 wk1	SF	23%	0.0%	0	0	0	10	54	0	—
25 wk21	SEA	38%	8.8%	3	3	24	9	55	0	—
25 wk20	CHI	37%	0.0%	0	0	0	6	19	0	—
25 wk19	CAR	37%	4.8%	2	2	13	11	45	0	—
25 wk18	ARI	33%	2.7%	1	1	10	13	59	0	—
25 wk17	ATL	25%	0.0%	0	0	0	6	18	0	—
25 wk16	SEA	29%	4.2%	2	1	13	14	48	1	—
25 wk15	DET	46%	0.0%	0	0	0	11	71	1	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 22 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	1 of 22	5%
5+ receptions	0 of 22	0%
7+ receptions	0 of 22	0%
50+ receiving yards	0 of 22	0%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 22	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 22	0%
Scored a touchdown	5 of 22	23%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	1.0	4.3	1.7	9.3	49.3	0	32%	3.8%
2025	20	0.7	3.6	0.9	8.6	43.2	6	30%	2.6%
2024	15	0.5	3.9	0.5	3.9	13.8	0	14%	1.7%

3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Blake Corum sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the LA room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Los Angeles Rams roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4