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Los Angeles Rams
This is a committee. Puka Nacua holds 33.3% of the targets, and the 14 tracked pass-catchers project for 27 receptions and 323 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua WR1 | 70% | 33.3% | 6.1 | 84 | who benefits |
| Davante Adams WR2 | 67% | 27.4% | 4.6 | 71 | who benefits |
| Konata Mumpfield WR3 | 56% | 8.9% | 2.0 | 23 | — |
| Tutu Atwell WR depth | 18% | 6.7% | 0.2 | 20 | — |
| Jordan Whittington WR depth | 32% | 1.9% | 0.5 | 11 | — |
| Xavier Smith WR depth | 37% | 1.1% | 1.0 | 7 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Ferguson TE1 | 45% | 12.6% | 1.7 | 25 | who benefits |
| Tyler Higbee TE2 | 39% | 10.0% | 2.6 | 22 | who benefits |
| Colby Parkinson TE3 | 64% | 5.4% | 2.1 | 19 | — |
| Davis Allen TE depth | 41% | 4.4% | 1.6 | 13 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams RB1 | 63% | 10.7% | 3.0 | 23 | who benefits |
| Blake Corum RB2 | 32% | 3.8% | 1.3 | 6 | who benefits |
| Ronnie Rivers RB3 | 13% | 3.7% | 0.0 | — | — |
| Dean Connors RB depth | 0% | 0.0% | 0.5 | -1 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 24 carries and 103 rushing yards, with Kyren Williams taking 58% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyren Williams RB | 14.2 | 58 | 4.09 | 35% |
| Blake Corum RB | 10.1 | 45 | 4.47 | 15% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.