Konata Mumpfield

Los Angeles Rams · Wide receiverWR3

Over 20 games last season Konata Mumpfield averaged 0.7 receptions and 6 yards on 32% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 2.0 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

2.0

1.4 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

17%

third-down role (+0.09)

His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.0 projected
26 wk3	DEN	73%	16.3%	8	4	93	1	1.7 +2.3
26 wk2	NYG	69%	6.7%	2	1	12	0	—
26 wk1	SF	26%	3.7%	1	0	0	0	—
25 wk21	SEA	23%	5.9%	2	0	0	0	—
25 wk20	CHI	46%	7.5%	3	2	11	0	—
25 wk19	CAR	14%	2.4%	1	1	11	0	—
25 wk18	ARI	48%	2.7%	1	0	0	0	—
25 wk17	ATL	66%	13.9%	5	2	10	0	—
25 wk16	SEA	46%	16.7%	8	3	40	0	—
25 wk15	DET	44%	2.6%	1	0	0	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 22 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	1 of 22	5%
5+ receptions	0 of 22	0%
7+ receptions	0 of 22	0%
50+ receiving yards	0 of 22	0%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 22	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 22	0%
Scored a touchdown	1 of 22	5%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	1.7	35.0	3.7	1	56%	8.9%
2025	20	0.7	5.7	1.4	1	32%	3.9%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Los Angeles Rams roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4