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Blake Whiteheart

Cleveland Browns · Tight endTE2

Over 16 games last season Blake Whiteheart averaged 0.1 receptions and 0 yards on 25% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.7 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.7
0.6 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
9
Anytime TD
11%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

55%028%111%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————0.7 projected
26 wk3CAR39%0.0%00000.8 -0.8
26 wk2TB47%6.7%21171—
26 wk1JAX39%4.5%11140—
25 wk18CIN65%4.8%1000—
25 wk17PIT62%4.3%1000—
25 wk16BUF36%0.0%0000—
25 wk15CHI18%0.0%0000—
25 wk14TEN42%2.6%1000—
25 wk13SF11%0.0%0000—
25 wk12LV14%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 180%
5+ receptions0 of 180%
7+ receptions0 of 180%
50+ receiving yards0 of 180%
75+ receiving yards0 of 180%
100+ receiving yards0 of 180%
Scored a touchdown1 of 186%

Career by season

Blake Whiteheart: snap share and target share by season0204060801002023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far30.710.31.0142%3.7%
2025160.10.20.4025%1.4%
2024110.54.60.8128%2.4%
202310.00.00.003%0.0%

4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Cleveland Browns roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about tight ends

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how muchIs any defense actually “weak against tight ends”?Not a real trait

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4