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Cleveland Browns
This is a committee. KC Concepcion holds 24.2% of the targets, and the 13 tracked pass-catchers project for 20 receptions and 201 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC Concepcion WR1 | 74% | 24.2% | 3.5 | 39 | who benefits |
| Denzel Boston WR2 | 91% | 18.3% | 3.4 | 48 | who benefits |
| Jerry Jeudy WR3 | 58% | 7.2% | 1.8 | 21 | — |
| Malachi Corley WR depth | 1% | 4.6% | 0.3 | -0 | — |
| Tylan Wallace WR depth | 24% | 2.2% | 0.2 | 2 | — |
| Isaiah Bond WR depth | 9% | 1.1% | 0.6 | 7 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold Fannin Jr. TE1 | 85% | 21.2% | 4.5 | 41 | who benefits |
| Blake Whiteheart TE2 | 42% | 3.7% | 0.7 | 9 | — |
| Carsen Ryan TE3 | 2% | 0.0% | 0.2 | -0 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raheim Sanders RB2 | 32% | 11.2% | 2.2 | 16 | who benefits |
| Quinshon Judkins RB1 | 61% | 10.8% | 2.1 | 18 | who benefits |
| Dylan Sampson RB depth | 26% | 8.7% | 0.0 | — | — |
| Jaleel McLaughlin RB3 | 10% | 1.7% | 0.2 | 0 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 15 carries and 51 rushing yards, with Quinshon Judkins taking 100% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinshon Judkins RB | 15.3 | 51 | 3.35 | 20% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.