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Tylan Wallace

Cleveland Browns · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 14 games last season Tylan Wallace averaged 0.3 receptions and 3 yards on 23% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.2 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.2
0.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
2
Anytime TD
5%

What a realistic week looks like

83%013%12345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————0.2 projected
26 wk3CAR20%0.0%00000.3 -0.3
26 wk2TB24%0.0%0000—
26 wk1JAX29%0.0%0000—
25 wk18PIT2%0.0%0000—
25 wk15CIN17%0.0%0000—
25 wk14PIT4%0.0%0000—
25 wk12NYJ27%5.0%1000—
25 wk11CLE43%4.0%1000—
25 wk10MIN11%0.0%0000—
25 wk9MIA16%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 16 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 160%
5+ receptions0 of 160%
7+ receptions0 of 160%
50+ receiving yards0 of 160%
75+ receiving yards0 of 160%
100+ receiving yards0 of 160%
Scored a touchdown1 of 166%

Career by season

Tylan Wallace: snap share and target share by season020406080100202120222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far30.00.00.0024%0.0%
2025140.33.20.6123%2.2%
2024190.712.70.8128%3.0%
202390.11.20.2011%0.9%
202280.54.10.9015%2.9%
2021130.21.80.5010%1.3%

6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Cleveland Browns roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4