Quinshon Judkins

Cleveland Browns · Running backRB1

Over 14 games last season Quinshon Judkins averaged 1.9 receptions and 12 yards on 50% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 2.1 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

2.1

0.3 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Rush attempts

15.3

Rushing yards

Anytime TD

20%

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.1 projected
26 wk3	CAR	51%	6.7%	2	2	9	18	70	0	2.6 -0.6
26 wk2	TB	67%	16.7%	5	5	27	12	21	0	—
26 wk1	JAX	65%	9.1%	2	2	17	12	33	0	—
25 wk16	BUF	39%	22.2%	6	5	29	8	22	0	—
25 wk15	CHI	67%	12.9%	4	3	-4	12	21	0	—
25 wk14	TEN	46%	7.9%	3	1	58	14	26	0	—
25 wk13	SF	60%	13.0%	3	3	18	23	91	0	—
25 wk12	LV	49%	0.0%	0	0	0	16	47	2	—
25 wk11	BAL	60%	8.0%	2	0	0	17	59	0	—
25 wk10	NYJ	52%	9.4%	3	2	10	22	75	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 16 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	7 of 16	44%
5+ receptions	2 of 16	12%
7+ receptions	0 of 16	0%
50+ receiving yards	1 of 16	6%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 16	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 16	0%
Scored a touchdown	4 of 16	25%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	3.0	17.7	3.0	14.0	41.3	0	61%	10.8%
2025	14	1.9	12.2	2.6	16.4	59.1	7	50%	8.3%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Quinshon Judkins sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the CLE room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Cleveland Browns roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4