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Isaiah Bond

Cleveland Browns · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 16 games last season Isaiah Bond averaged 1.1 receptions and 21 yards on 48% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.6 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.6
0.6 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
7
Anytime TD
2%
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.

What a realistic week looks like

63%024%18%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk4—————————0.6 projected
26 wk3CAR7%0.0%0000000.6 -0.6
26 wk2TB7%3.3%1110000—
26 wk1JAX14%0.0%000000—
25 wk18CIN54%9.5%2113140—
25 wk17PIT23%4.3%1116000—
25 wk16BUF48%0.0%00211-10—
25 wk15CHI68%12.9%4289000—
25 wk14TEN48%5.3%200000—
25 wk13SF29%8.7%2118190—
25 wk12LV29%11.1%2258000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions1 of 186%
5+ receptions0 of 180%
7+ receptions0 of 180%
50+ receiving yards3 of 1817%
75+ receiving yards1 of 186%
100+ receiving yards0 of 180%
Scored a touchdown0 of 180%

Career by season

Isaiah Bond: snap share and target share by season02040608010020252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far30.33.30.309%1.1%
2025161.121.12.8048%8.7%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Cleveland Browns roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4