Slate Stats › NFL › Players

BT

Brycen Tremayne

Carolina Panthers · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 17 games last season Brycen Tremayne averaged 0.8 receptions and 9 yards on 24% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.2 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
1.2
0.4 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
17
Anytime TD
7%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

36%031%118%29%34%45678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————1.2 projected
26 wk3CLE81%14.3%648300.5 +3.5
26 wk2ATL17%0.0%0000—
26 wk1CHI18%0.0%0000—
25 wk19LA9%2.7%1000—
25 wk18TB14%6.7%22270—
25 wk17SEA15%4.8%1000—
25 wk16TB15%0.0%0000—
25 wk15NO14%0.0%0000—
25 wk13LA27%0.0%0000—
25 wk12SF9%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions2 of 1911%
5+ receptions0 of 190%
7+ receptions0 of 190%
50+ receiving yards0 of 190%
75+ receiving yards0 of 190%
100+ receiving yards0 of 190%
Scored a touchdown0 of 190%

Career by season

Brycen Tremayne: snap share and target share by season020406080100202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far31.327.72.0039%4.8%
2025170.89.41.1024%3.4%
202420.5-1.00.5013%1.9%

3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Carolina Panthers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4