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Dareke Young

Las Vegas Raiders · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 12 games last season Dareke Young averaged 0.2 receptions and 4 yards on 10% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.5 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.5
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
8
Anytime TD
3%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

67%023%17%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————0.5 projected
26 wk3NO17%0.0%00000.6 -0.6
26 wk2LAC19%3.4%11270—
26 wk1MIA15%0.0%0000—
25 wk22NE6%0.0%0000—
25 wk21LA1%0.0%0000—
25 wk20SF21%0.0%0000—
25 wk18SF12%0.0%0000—
25 wk17CAR17%3.8%1000—
25 wk16LA—0.0%0000—
25 wk7HOU1%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 14 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 140%
5+ receptions0 of 140%
7+ receptions0 of 140%
50+ receiving yards0 of 140%
75+ receiving yards0 of 140%
100+ receiving yards0 of 140%
Scored a touchdown0 of 140%

Career by season

Dareke Young: snap share and target share by season02040608010020222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far30.39.00.3017%1.1%
2025120.24.00.2010%1.0%
2024120.00.00.105%0.3%
202350.00.00.003%0.0%
2022140.22.50.2013%0.7%

5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Las Vegas Raiders roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4