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Las Vegas Raiders
This is a top-heavy committee. Brock Bowers holds 43.3% of the targets, and the 13 tracked pass-catchers project for 24 receptions and 270 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Tucker WR1 | 62% | 17.1% | 3.2 | 40 | who benefits |
| Jalen Nailor WR2 | 59% | 12.5% | 1.7 | 27 | who benefits |
| Jack Bech WR3 | 37% | 6.9% | 1.8 | 16 | — |
| Malik Benson WR depth | 10% | 4.6% | 0.8 | 14 | — |
| Cody White WR depth | 16% | 3.4% | 0.8 | 11 | — |
| Dareke Young WR depth | 17% | 1.1% | 0.5 | 8 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Bowers TE1 | 79% | 43.3% | 5.6 | 82 | who benefits |
| Michael Mayer TE2 | 84% | 16.0% | 3.7 | 35 | who benefits |
| Ian Thomas TE3 | 38% | 1.1% | 0.7 | 5 | — |
| Chris Myarick TE depth | 6% | 0.0% | 0.2 | -0 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty RB1 | 80% | 18.3% | 4.0 | 31 | who benefits |
| Mike Washington Jr. RB2 | 18% | 1.1% | 0.3 | 4 | — |
| Dylan Laube RB3 | 11% | 0.8% | 0.2 | -1 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 22 carries and 105 rushing yards, with Ashton Jeanty taking 76% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty RB | 16.9 | 77 | 4.53 | 45% |
| Mike Washington Jr. RB | 5.3 | 29 | 5.41 | 10% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.