Slate Stats › NFL › Players

DM

David Moore

Carolina Panthers · Wide receiverWR depth

David Moore has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 1 game of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.8
0.5 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
14

What a realistic week looks like

53%028%112%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk4—————————0.8 projected
26 wk3CLE6%4.8%200000—
25 wk4NE1%0.0%0001120—
25 wk3ATL97%4.2%115000—
25 wk2ARI14%0.0%000000—
25 wk1JAX19%0.0%000000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 4 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 40%
5+ receptions0 of 40%
7+ receptions0 of 40%
50+ receiving yards0 of 40%
75+ receiving yards0 of 40%
100+ receiving yards0 of 40%
Scored a touchdown0 of 40%

Career by season

David Moore: snap share and target share by season020406080100201720182019202020212023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far10.00.02.006%4.8%
202540.21.20.2033%1.0%
2024171.920.63.4354%10.8%
202390.919.01.2226%3.8%
202130.00.00.7019%1.9%
2020172.124.62.8646%8.7%
2019161.222.42.4234%7.9%
2018171.526.23.1555%13.2%
201710.00.00.0016%0.0%

9 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Carolina Panthers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4