Devontez Walker

Baltimore Ravens · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 11 games last season Devontez Walker averaged 0.5 receptions and 12 yards on 30% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.7 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

0.7

0.2 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0.7 projected
26 wk3	DAL	27%	5.0%	1	0	0	0	0.7 -0.7
26 wk2	NO	29%	6.9%	2	1	47	0	—
25 wk18	PIT	73%	11.8%	2	2	46	1	—
25 wk17	GB	26%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	—
25 wk16	NE	11%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	—
25 wk15	CIN	61%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	—
25 wk13	CIN	28%	6.7%	2	0	0	0	—
25 wk12	NYJ	40%	5.0%	1	1	30	0	—
25 wk11	CLE	15%	0.0%	0	0	0	0	—
25 wk5	HOU	—	0.0%	0	0	0	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	0 of 12	0%
5+ receptions	0 of 12	0%
7+ receptions	0 of 12	0%
50+ receiving yards	0 of 12	0%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 12	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 12	0%
Scored a touchdown	2 of 12	17%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	2	0.5	23.5	1.5	0	28%	5.9%
2025	11	0.5	12.4	0.7	3	30%	3.1%
2024	9	0.1	2.3	0.3	1	12%	1.9%

3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Baltimore Ravens roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4