Slate Stats › NFL › Teams
Baltimore Ravens
This is a committee. Zay Flowers holds 27.5% of the targets, and the 13 tracked pass-catchers project for 19 receptions and 272 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers WR1 | 31% | 27.5% | 4.4 | 69 | who benefits |
| Rashod Bateman WR2 | 86% | 16.7% | 2.8 | 42 | who benefits |
| Ja'Kobi Lane WR3 | 40% | 12.5% | 0.0 | — | — |
| Chris Moore WR depth | 48% | 7.9% | 1.1 | 25 | — |
| Devontez Walker WR depth | 28% | 5.9% | 0.7 | 25 | — |
| LaJohntay Wester WR depth | 33% | 5.1% | 1.0 | 13 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Andrews TE1 | 65% | 24.7% | 3.4 | 46 | who benefits |
| Matthew Hibner TE2 | 39% | 4.7% | 1.0 | 14 | who benefits |
| Durham Smythe TE3 | 57% | 2.5% | 0.7 | 9 | — |
| Josh Cuevas TE depth | 14% | 1.7% | 0.4 | 5 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry RB1 | 58% | 6.5% | 1.6 | 14 | who benefits |
| Justice Hill RB2 | 42% | 3.7% | 1.7 | 11 | who benefits |
| Rasheen Ali RB3 | 20% | 3.7% | 0.4 | -1 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 24 carries and 113 rushing yards, with Derrick Henry taking 80% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry RB | 19.6 | 89 | 4.56 | 56% |
| Justice Hill RB | 4.9 | 23 | 4.82 | 17% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.