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LaJohntay Wester

Baltimore Ravens · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 16 games last season LaJohntay Wester averaged 0.0 receptions and 0 yards on 8% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.0 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
1.0
Receiving yards
13
Anytime TD
14%
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

45%030%115%26%345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————1.0 projected
26 wk3DAL17%0.0%00001.2 -1.2
26 wk2NO53%6.9%21140—
26 wk1IND29%8.3%22150—
25 wk18PIT18%0.0%0000—
25 wk17GB9%0.0%0000—
25 wk16NE4%0.0%0000—
25 wk15CIN22%0.0%0000—
25 wk14PIT6%0.0%0000—
25 wk13CIN8%0.0%0000—
25 wk12NYJ2%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 180%
5+ receptions0 of 180%
7+ receptions0 of 180%
50+ receiving yards0 of 180%
75+ receiving yards0 of 180%
100+ receiving yards0 of 180%
Scored a touchdown0 of 180%

Career by season

LaJohntay Wester: snap share and target share by season02040608010020252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far31.09.71.3033%5.1%
2025160.00.00.008%0.0%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Baltimore Ravens roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4