George Holani

Seattle Seahawks · Running backRB3

Over 12 games last season George Holani averaged 0.5 receptions and 4 yards on 21% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.1 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

1.1

0.6 above his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Rush attempts

4.7

Rushing yards

Anytime TD

23%

His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1.1 projected
26 wk3	WAS	36%	11.1%	5	5	48	3	10	0	0.9 +4.1
26 wk2	ARI	26%	3.8%	1	1	2	4	13	0	—
26 wk1	NE	46%	4.2%	1	0	0	8	29	0	—
25 wk22	NE	33%	2.8%	1	1	7	2	6	0	—
25 wk21	LA	34%	11.8%	4	3	27	3	4	0	—
25 wk11	LA	2%	0.0%	0	0	0	2	6	0	—
25 wk10	ARI	18%	0.0%	0	0	0	7	31	1	—
25 wk9	WAS	6%	0.0%	0	0	0	3	9	0	—
25 wk7	HOU	—	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	—
25 wk6	JAX	—	0.0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 14 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	1 of 14	7%
5+ receptions	0 of 14	0%
7+ receptions	0 of 14	0%
50+ receiving yards	0 of 14	0%
75+ receiving yards	0 of 14	0%
100+ receiving yards	0 of 14	0%
Scored a touchdown	1 of 14	7%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	2.0	16.7	2.3	5.0	17.3	0	36%	6.4%
2025	12	0.5	4.1	0.6	2.2	6.9	1	21%	2.0%
2024	3	0.3	-0.3	0.3	1.0	3.3	0	4%	1.1%

3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Seattle Seahawks roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how much Do touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4