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JL

Jeremiyah Love

Arizona Cardinals · Running backRB1

Jeremiyah Love has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 3 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
2.8
Receiving yards
18
Rush attempts
13.2
Rushing yards
54
Anytime TD
34%
red-zone role (+0.07)

What a realistic week looks like

10%019%121%218%313%48%55%63%78910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk4—————————2.8 projected
26 wk3SF64%10.0%5519219012.2 +2.8
26 wk2SEA40%11.5%33169290—
26 wk1LAC43%10.8%42911411—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

Career by season

SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmCarries/gmRush yds/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far33.314.74.013.753.3249%10.8%

1 season of usage, 2026–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Jeremiyah Love sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the ARI room — with sample size and t-statisticThe whole Arizona Cardinals roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how muchDo touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4