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Arizona Cardinals
This is a top-heavy committee. Trey McBride holds 31.9% of the targets, and the 12 tracked pass-catchers project for 25 receptions and 262 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson WR1 | 91% | 26.6% | 5.1 | 68 | who benefits |
| Kendrick Bourne WR2 | 61% | 13.1% | 2.7 | 32 | who benefits |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. WR3 | 77% | 7.3% | 2.5 | 32 | — |
| Devin Duvernay WR depth | 9% | 0.8% | 0.1 | 0 | — |
| Jalen Brooks WR depth | 5% | 0.7% | 0.1 | 6 | — |
| Simi Fehoko WR depth | 10% | 0.0% | 0.3 | 0 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey McBride TE1 | 86% | 31.9% | 7.3 | 75 | who benefits |
| Elijah Higgins TE2 | 31% | 2.0% | 0.9 | 9 | who benefits |
| Hunter Long TE3 | 33% | 0.7% | 0.6 | 7 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love RB1 | 49% | 10.8% | 2.8 | 18 | who benefits |
| Tyler Allgeier RB2 | 53% | 7.0% | 1.9 | 14 | who benefits |
| Bam Knight RB3 | 5% | 6.3% | 0.6 | -1 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 22 carries and 88 rushing yards, with Jeremiyah Love taking 60% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiyah Love RB | 13.2 | 54 | 4.12 | 34% |
| Tyler Allgeier RB | 8.7 | 33 | 3.83 | 21% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.