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Simi Fehoko

Arizona Cardinals · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 7 games last season Simi Fehoko averaged 0.0 receptions and 0 yards on 10% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.3 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.3
Receiving yards
0
Anytime TD
9%

What a realistic week looks like

80%015%12345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTDWe said
26 wk3SF—0—
26 wk2SEA12%0—
26 wk1LAC8%0—
25 wk10SEA28%0—
25 wk9DAL3%0—
25 wk7GB1%0—
25 wk6IND12%0—
25 wk5TEN6%0—
25 wk4SEA—0—
25 wk3SF—0—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 9 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 90%
5+ receptions0 of 90%
7+ receptions0 of 90%
50+ receiving yards0 of 90%
75+ receiving yards0 of 90%
100+ receiving yards0 of 90%
Scored a touchdown0 of 90%

Career by season

Simi Fehoko: snap share and target share by season020406080100202120222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far30.00.00.0010%0.0%
202570.00.00.0010%0.0%
202490.711.81.8044%6.2%
202350.21.80.419%1.1%
202250.64.80.8011%2.1%
202120.00.00.004%0.0%

6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Arizona Cardinals roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4