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LeQuint Allen Jr.

Jacksonville Jaguars · Running backRB depth

Over 18 games last season LeQuint Allen Jr. averaged 0.6 receptions and 4 yards on 22% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 0.7 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
0.7
0.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
4
Anytime TD
17%
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.

What a realistic week looks like

56%027%111%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk4—————————0.7 projected
26 wk3NE18%7.4%2290000.5 +1.5
26 wk2DEN15%3.6%100000—
26 wk1CLE2%0.0%000000—
25 wk19BUF20%3.3%119130—
25 wk18TEN18%0.0%000000—
25 wk17IND19%0.0%000130—
25 wk16DEN30%0.0%0004100—
25 wk15NYJ29%3.6%1154110—
25 wk14IND25%6.5%228000—
25 wk13TEN24%0.0%000000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 200%
5+ receptions0 of 200%
7+ receptions0 of 200%
50+ receiving yards0 of 200%
75+ receiving yards0 of 200%
100+ receiving yards0 of 200%
Scored a touchdown0 of 200%

Career by season

LeQuint Allen Jr.: snap share and target share by season02040608010020252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmCarries/gmRush yds/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far30.73.01.00.00.0012%3.7%
2025180.63.50.71.35.4022%2.1%

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Jacksonville Jaguars roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about running backs

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how muchDo touchdowns repeat from year to year?Much less than receptions

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4