Rashid Shaheed

Seattle Seahawks · Wide receiverWR2

Over 21 games last season Rashid Shaheed averaged 3.0 receptions and 36 yards on 60% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 2.6 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions

2.6

0.4 below his 2025 average

Receiving yards

Anytime TD

17%

third-down role (+0.05)

What a realistic week looks like

The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share

Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

Game	Opp	Snap share	Target share	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Car	Rush yds	TD	We said
26 wk4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.6 projected
26 wk3	WAS	46%	6.7%	3	2	14	0	0	0	2.9 -0.9
26 wk2	ARI	56%	23.1%	6	3	35	1	4	0	—
26 wk1	NE	66%	12.5%	3	1	4	0	0	0	—
25 wk22	NE	57%	13.9%	5	2	27	1	-5	0	—
25 wk21	LA	57%	8.8%	3	1	51	1	0	0	—
25 wk20	SF	42%	12.5%	2	0	0	2	27	0	—
25 wk18	SF	48%	3.8%	1	1	2	0	0	0	—
25 wk17	CAR	18%	3.8%	1	1	8	0	0	0	—
25 wk16	LA	54%	3.2%	1	0	0	1	31	0	—
25 wk15	IND	68%	21.2%	7	5	74	1	-3	0	—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 23 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

Outcome	Games it happened	How often
3+ receptions	12 of 23	52%
5+ receptions	4 of 23	17%
7+ receptions	1 of 23	4%
50+ receiving yards	7 of 23	30%
75+ receiving yards	2 of 23	9%
100+ receiving yards	1 of 23	4%
Scored a touchdown	2 of 23	9%

Career by season

Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.

Season	Games	Catches/gm	Rec yds/gm	Targets/gm	Carries/gm	Rush yds/gm	TDs, season	Snap share	Target share
2026 so far	3	2.0	17.7	4.0	0.3	1.3	0	56%	14.1%
2025	21	3.0	36.4	4.9	0.6	4.3	2	60%	15.5%
2024	6	3.3	58.2	6.8	1.0	4.8	3	76%	24.4%
2023	15	3.1	47.9	5.0	0.5	2.5	5	58%	13.8%
2022	12	2.3	40.7	2.8	0.3	4.8	3	42%	12.5%

5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Rashid Shaheed sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the SEA room — with sample size and t-statistic The whole Seattle Seahawks roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worse Do defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4