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Romeo Doubs

New England Patriots · Wide receiverWR3

Over 17 games last season Romeo Doubs averaged 3.7 receptions and 50 yards on 77% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 2.9 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
2.9
0.8 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
39
Anytime TD
8%
third-down role (+0.06)

What a realistic week looks like

9%018%121%218%314%49%55%63%78910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 6 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk4———————2.9 projected
26 wk3JAX73%13.3%434902.8 +0.2
26 wk2PIT67%19.0%43960—
26 wk1SEA56%9.7%3000—
25 wk19CHI73%28.9%1181241—
25 wk17BAL57%12.0%33620—
25 wk16CHI62%25.0%65841—
25 wk15DEN76%8.3%32360—
25 wk14CHI81%8.7%2000—
25 wk13DET84%13.8%44201—
25 wk12MIN73%14.3%32230—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 19 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions12 of 1963%
5+ receptions6 of 1932%
7+ receptions2 of 1911%
50+ receiving yards10 of 1953%
75+ receiving yards4 of 1921%
100+ receiving yards1 of 195%
Scored a touchdown5 of 1926%

Career by season

Romeo Doubs: snap share and target share by season02040608010020222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far32.048.33.7065%14.0%
2025173.749.95.6777%19.5%
2024143.443.95.3476%18.8%
2023193.647.85.7977%17.4%
2022133.232.75.2363%15.7%

5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole New England Patriots roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4