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Skyy Moore

Green Bay Packers · Wide receiverWR depth

Over 19 games last season Skyy Moore averaged 0.3 receptions and 5 yards on 13% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 1.4 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
1.4
1.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
15
Anytime TD
14%
red-zone role (+0.08)
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.

What a realistic week looks like

32%030%119%210%35%45678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk4—————————1.4 projected
26 wk3ATL52%13.7%73310000.6 +2.4
26 wk2NYJ36%10.3%326000—
26 wk1MIN6%2.5%100000—
25 wk20SEA15%0.0%000000—
25 wk19PHI17%3.3%100130—
25 wk18SEA12%0.0%000000—
25 wk17CHI6%0.0%0001100—
25 wk16IND11%3.0%1123000—
25 wk15TEN—0.0%000000—
25 wk13CLE—0.0%000000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 210%
5+ receptions0 of 210%
7+ receptions0 of 210%
50+ receiving yards0 of 210%
75+ receiving yards0 of 210%
100+ receiving yards0 of 210%
Scored a touchdown0 of 210%

Career by season

Skyy Moore: snap share and target share by season02040608010020222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far31.712.33.7031%8.9%
2025190.34.60.4013%1.4%
202460.00.00.5020%1.9%
2023141.517.42.7152%7.6%
2022191.414.12.2130%6.1%

5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Green Bay Packers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4