Tanner Koziol has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 1 game of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Week 4 projection
Receptions
0.7
Receiving yards
-0
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
TD
We said
26 wk3
NE
5%
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
Career by season
Season
Games
Catches/gm
Rec yds/gm
Targets/gm
TDs, season
Snap share
Target share
2026 so far
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0
5%
0.0%
1 season of usage, 2026–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016