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Wan'Dale Robinson

Tennessee Titans · Wide receiverWR2

Over 16 games last season Wan'Dale Robinson averaged 5.8 receptions and 63 yards on 91% of snaps. For week 4 the model projects 4.5 receptions.

Week 4 projection

Receptions
4.5
1.3 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
43
Anytime TD
25%
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.

What a realistic week looks like

3%08%113%216%316%414%511%68%75%83%92%10111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 1 and 8 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

How his role is trending

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.98 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.94 and touchdowns 0.72. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk4—————————4.5 projected
26 wk3NYG63%31.4%117570014.1 +2.9
26 wk2PHI53%5.9%119000—
26 wk1NYJ82%21.4%6538000—
25 wk17LV75%48.3%1411113000—
25 wk16MIN98%46.2%6319130—
25 wk15WAS99%27.8%10554001—
25 wk13NE100%33.3%8734000—
25 wk12DET83%41.2%149156101—
25 wk11GB97%31.0%9436000—
25 wk10CHI99%34.4%11662000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions16 of 1889%
5+ receptions12 of 1867%
7+ receptions5 of 1828%
50+ receiving yards8 of 1844%
75+ receiving yards5 of 1828%
100+ receiving yards3 of 1817%
Scored a touchdown4 of 1822%

Career by season

Wan'Dale Robinson: snap share and target share by season02040608010020222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
SeasonGamesCatches/gmRec yds/gmTargets/gmTDs, seasonSnap shareTarget share
2026 so far34.334.76.0166%19.6%
2025165.863.48.8491%30.3%
2024175.541.18.2376%25.1%
2023154.035.05.2266%18.4%
202263.837.85.2154%17.0%

5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

If Wan'Dale Robinson sits, who gets his work?The measured redistribution across the TEN room — with sample size and t-statisticThe whole Tennessee Titans roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 4