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Miami Dolphins
This is a committee. Malik Washington holds 26.6% of the targets, and the 12 tracked pass-catchers project for 18 receptions and 204 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Washington WR1 | 86% | 26.6% | 3.5 | 40 | who benefits |
| Caleb Douglas WR2 | 88% | 19.5% | 3.4 | 41 | who benefits |
| Chris Bell WR3 | 55% | 10.6% | 1.8 | 24 | — |
| Jalen Tolbert WR depth | 16% | 7.1% | 0.4 | 3 | — |
| Ryan Miller WR depth | 17% | 6.5% | 0.7 | 17 | — |
| Kevin Coleman Jr. WR depth | 46% | 6.3% | 0.8 | 14 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Dulcich TE1 | 69% | 13.5% | 3.1 | 24 | who benefits |
| Will Kacmarek TE2 | 38% | 2.7% | 0.7 | 8 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane RB1 | 56% | 15.8% | 2.6 | 22 | who benefits |
| DJ Herman RB depth | 31% | 4.3% | 0.3 | 9 | — |
| Jaylen Wright RB3 | 6% | 3.7% | 0.2 | -1 | — |
| Ollie Gordon II RB2 | 37% | 2.9% | 1.0 | 4 | who benefits |
The ground game
Projected for 17 carries and 72 rushing yards, with De'Von Achane taking 66% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Von Achane RB | 11.3 | 45 | 4.00 | 24% |
| Ollie Gordon II RB | 5.8 | 27 | 4.60 | 24% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.