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Cincinnati Bengals
This is a committee. Ja'Marr Chase holds 24.4% of the targets, and the 14 tracked pass-catchers project for 24 receptions and 236 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase WR1 | 94% | 24.4% | 6.6 | 77 | who benefits |
| Tee Higgins WR2 | 79% | 22.9% | 4.3 | 60 | who benefits |
| Dohnte Meyers WR3 | 30% | 6.6% | 1.5 | 15 | — |
| Andrei Iosivas WR depth | 57% | 6.0% | 0.0 | — | — |
| Colbie Young WR depth | 11% | 2.0% | 0.7 | 6 | — |
| Ke'Shawn Williams WR depth | 6% | 0.3% | 0.1 | 0 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Gesicki TE1 | 40% | 9.6% | 2.3 | 25 | who benefits |
| Drew Sample TE2 | 59% | 4.7% | 1.3 | 13 | who benefits |
| Tanner Hudson TE3 | 16% | 4.2% | 1.5 | 9 | — |
| Erick All TE depth | 31% | 3.2% | 0.7 | 7 | — |
| Jack Endries TE depth | 2% | 0.0% | 0.6 | -0 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown RB1 | 0% | 13.1% | 3.5 | 14 | who benefits |
| Samaje Perine RB2 | 0% | 6.7% | 1.4 | 10 | who benefits |
| Tahj Brooks RB3 | 0% | 0.5% | 0.1 | -1 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 19 carries and 84 rushing yards, with Chase Brown taking 79% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Brown RB | 15.2 | 65 | 4.27 | 39% |
| Samaje Perine RB | 3.9 | 19 | 4.80 | 18% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.