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New York Jets
This is a committee. Garrett Wilson holds 28.7% of the targets, and the 15 tracked pass-catchers project for 28 receptions and 240 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson WR1 | 86% | 28.7% | 5.6 | 57 | who benefits |
| Adonai Mitchell WR2 | 75% | 23.2% | 3.0 | 47 | who benefits |
| Isaiah Williams WR3 | 77% | 8.9% | 2.9 | 21 | — |
| Omar Cooper Jr. WR depth | 7% | 4.3% | 0.0 | — | — |
| Sterling Shepard WR depth | 45% | 2.8% | 1.9 | 12 | — |
| Arian Smith WR depth | 2% | 2.2% | 0.0 | — | — |
| Jamaal Pritchett WR depth | 0% | 0.0% | 0.9 | 1 | — |
| Malik McClain WR depth | 27% | 0.0% | 0.7 | 3 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Sadiq TE1 | 45% | 14.5% | 3.3 | 31 | who benefits |
| Jeremy Ruckert TE2 | 40% | 7.9% | 1.8 | 15 | who benefits |
| Mason Taylor TE3 | 56% | 6.5% | 2.0 | 15 | — |
| Jelani Woods TE depth | 30% | 0.9% | 0.5 | 10 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall RB1 | 57% | 10.3% | 2.6 | 20 | who benefits |
| Isaiah Davis RB3 | 28% | 6.3% | 0.9 | -1 | — |
| Braelon Allen RB2 | 41% | 5.2% | 1.6 | 9 | who benefits |
The ground game
Projected for 22 carries and 91 rushing yards, with Breece Hall taking 70% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breece Hall RB | 15.2 | 63 | 4.11 | 31% |
| Braelon Allen RB | 6.6 | 29 | 4.33 | 20% |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.