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Dallas Cowboys
This is a committee. CeeDee Lamb holds 25.2% of the targets, and the 12 tracked pass-catchers project for 25 receptions and 246 receiving yards in week 4.
Who owns the targets
Trailing target share, largest first. Target share reproduces at 0.92 between halves of a season, so this is a stable picture of the pecking order rather than a snapshot of one good game.
Receivers
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb WR1 | 79% | 25.2% | 5.4 | 62 | who benefits |
| George Pickens WR2 | 82% | 24.4% | 5.3 | 65 | who benefits |
| Ryan Flournoy WR3 | 71% | 17.6% | 3.1 | 40 | — |
| KaVontae Turpin WR depth | 13% | 2.8% | 1.0 | 10 | — |
| Jonathan Mingo WR depth | 19% | 1.1% | 0.5 | 6 | — |
Tight ends
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ferguson TE1 | 68% | 10.7% | 3.7 | 26 | who benefits |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford TE2 | 33% | 3.1% | 1.1 | 10 | who benefits |
| Luke Schoonmaker TE3 | 24% | 1.9% | 0.7 | 7 | — |
Backs
| Player | Snap share | Target share | Proj. catches | Proj. rec yards | If he sits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams RB1 | 76% | 12.4% | 2.9 | 21 | who benefits |
| Emari Demercado RB3 | 12% | 4.0% | 0.4 | -0 | — |
| Hunter Luepke RB depth | 19% | 2.7% | 0.4 | 0 | — |
| Tyler Goodson RB2 | 15% | 2.5% | 0.6 | -0 | — |
The ground game
Projected for 20 carries and 85 rushing yards, with Javonte Williams taking 72% of the work. Carries per game is the second most repeatable thing a player has — 0.97 between halves of a season — so a backfield split holds up far better than a touchdown rate does.
| Player | Carries | Rush yds | Yds/carry | Anytime TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javonte Williams RB | 14.2 | 57 | 4.01 | 44% |
| Tyler Goodson RB | 5.6 | 28 | 5.11 | — |
Whose role has changed since last season
Snap share this season against last, for anyone who has moved at least six points. This is the input the model leans on hardest early in a year, because snap share is already reliable at 0.84 after two games while receptions manage 0.66.